- The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Baltimore Orioles (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Orioles vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 17-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 13-11 ATS.
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +130 | O 7.5 -120 | -135 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 +100 | +110 |
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 70% ROI)
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 14-11 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 6.81% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 23.18% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 11.41% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -18.66% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.83% ROI).
- 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 7.98% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown elevated pitches 54% of the time (83/154) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 29.1.
Grayson Rodriguez has walked 4 of 20 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — seventh Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has walked 4 of 20 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — eighth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .524 (115 PA’s) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — 91st Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed an OPS of just .091 (22 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .633 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .330 (17 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.070 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Orioles are 9-74 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Orioles are 14-10 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 7-35 (.167) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Tigers are just 20-47 (.299) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Tigers are just 39-51 (.433) at home since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Tigers are 15-2 (.882) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .421 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Orioles are batting .301 against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles hitters have 501 strikeouts in 2,050 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .351 (478 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (5,069 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .607 (5,069 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .217 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .579 (553 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 110 of 1,662 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 147 of 1,642 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Austin Hays (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
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