- The – are favorites vs the –
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Baltimore Orioles () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Orioles vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 17-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 13-11 ATS.
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 70% ROI)
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Dean Kremer | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 14-11 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 6.81% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 23.18% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 11.41% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -18.66% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.83% ROI).
- 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.96% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -15.82% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 7.98% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .298 (14-for-47) against Grayson Rodriguez when ahead in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .201 — third Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has struck out 31% (16/51) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 90th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has walked 4 of 20 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — sixth Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown fastballs up 85% of the time (47/55) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of just 11% (3 SO in 28 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — third Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez’s has 16 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.5 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 20.0 innings pitched — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 31.2.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 70-3 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Orioles are just 0-5 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Orioles are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 7-35 (.167) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Tigers are just 10-40 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 9-77 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 37-102 (.266) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 501 strikeouts in 2,050 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles are batting just .146 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Orioles are batting .301 against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (5,069 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .613 (909 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .607 (5,069 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .579 (553 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 31 of 233 batters (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 147 of 1,642 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
