- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Tigers
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Tigers starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Baltimore Orioles (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Orioles vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 18-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 14-12 ATS.
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -115 | -155 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -105 | +125 |
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.65 Units / 144% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 70% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Spencer Turnbull | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 15-12 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 6.71% ROI).
- 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 19.63% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 17.22% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -24.41% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 14-12 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.67% ROI).
- 10-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -2.12% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -7.63% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.91 (66.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 3.90 — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has a strike rate of just 56% (414/734) when ahead in the count since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fifth Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .338 (93-for-275) against Kyle Bradish since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .920 (120 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .719 — seventh Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has a strikeout rate of just 30% (15 SO in 50 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has a strikeout rate of just 8% (2 SO in 24 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has a strikeout rate of just 15% (15 SO in 103 PAs) this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .350 (7-for-20) against Spencer Turnbull’s elevated fastball this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 10th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 71-3 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Orioles are 32-9 (.780) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .652.
The Orioles are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Orioles are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 8-36 (.182) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Tigers are just 1-2 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Tigers are just 9-78 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 40-52 (.435) at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .432 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Orioles hitters have just 35 strikeouts in 259 PA’s (14%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 68% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (5,126 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .330 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (5,126 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,855 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
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