Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 2

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 1:24 PM
  • The Tigers are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd

The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-140) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland.

The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Orioles vs Tigers Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Orioles are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 0-3 ATS.

Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -175O 10 -105+115
Tigers -1.5 +145U 10 -115-140

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 54.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Rylan Bannon has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Rylan Bannon has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 142 games (+28.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 142 games (+22.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 108 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -50.94% ROI).

  • 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -59.22% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 41.11% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -52.87% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 0-3 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -33.77% ROI
  • 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 95.24% ROI
  • 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -100% ROI

Grayson Rodriguez is making his MLB debut today.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matthew Boyd has not allowed a hit to any of the last 30 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Ryan Pressly has the longest active streak at 68.

Matthew Boyd has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.

Matthew Boyd allowed a slugging percentage of just .132 (5 Total Bases / 38 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 97th Percentile.

Matthew Boyd allowed an OPS of just .382 (45 PA’s) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — 15th best among among 250 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 94th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are 69-25 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Orioles are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Orioles are 14-68 (.171) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Orioles are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .534 (259 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days of the regular season (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Orioles hitters have 909 strikeouts in 3,781 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (6,578 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 185 of 2,843 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.