• The Orioles are -118 favorites vs the Twins
• Orioles vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (-118) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-102) on August 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Orioles are 57-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 65-53 ATS.

Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 7-7, 4.23 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 7-3, 4.46 ERA

Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Dylan Beavers has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.85 Units / 22% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 61-56 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.4% ROI).

• 57-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -6.56% ROI
• 59-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.15% ROI
• 55-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -7.26% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 65-53 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI).

• 58-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.98% ROI
• 62-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.5 Units / 5.7% ROI
• 49-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.3 Units / -14.81% ROI

Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Twins were just 70-92 (.432) in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .502 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 43% this season — best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .285 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 147 total hits (48%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have been successful in just 64% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .220 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.04 runs per game (282/56) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,263/4,496 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Twins have still managed to win 32% of the time this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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