• The Orioles are -102 favorites vs the Twins
• Orioles vs Twins Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Orioles / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MASN | KMSP

The Baltimore Orioles (-102) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-118) on August 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Orioles are 57-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 66-53 ATS.

Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 8-3, 3.46 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 5-8, 5.30 ERA

Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Dylan Beavers has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.00 Units / 150% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+5.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+4.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 61-57 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.74% ROI).

• 57-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -7.29% ROI
• 60-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.38% ROI
• 55-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -8.01% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 66-53 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.44% ROI).

• 59-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.22% ROI
• 63-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.5 Units / 6.41% ROI
• 49-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.35 Units / -15.49% ROI

Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 66-9 (.880) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Orioles were 79-7 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 70-92 (.432) in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 5-62 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .135 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .151 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 150 total hits (47%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .233 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

The Orioles have allowed 5.11 runs per game (291/57) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,287/4,539 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 1.64 runs per game (197/120) in late innings this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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