Orioles vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Orioles vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 6-7 ATS.

Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +140O 9 -115-115
White Sox +1.5 -165U 9 -105-105

Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)

White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Luis Robert 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +290 0.5 -500

White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Luis Robert 1.5 +155 1.5 -210
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Luis Robert 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Clevinger 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Tyler Wells 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 7-6 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -5.79% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 31.51% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -40.07% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -10.4% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -23.08% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 26.24% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -34.14% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .170 (15-for-88) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .164 (10-for-61) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .170 (9-for-53) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .154 (39 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 98th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mike Clevinger has had second base stolen on him 4 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .174 (8-for-46) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (11-for-53) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 99th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has struck out just 5% (1/21) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Orioles are 71-73 (.493) when underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Orioles are just 62-46 (.574) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Orioles are just 48-48 (.500) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

The Orioles are just 30-114 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The White Sox were 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 8-45 (.151) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The White Sox were 4-68 (.056) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The White Sox are 152-47 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles batted just .224 against LHP in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Orioles batted just .152 with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of .364 (163 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .332.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .864 (163 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

White Sox hitters hit 95 extra-base hits out of 322 total hits (just 29%) when the pitcher was behind in the count in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .447 (292 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .439 (95 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.

White Sox hitters have drawn 40 walks in 823 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.77 (1387.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 193 of 2,958 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 10.33 (27.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.

The White Sox have allowed 10.33 runs per game (31/3) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against White Sox pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Foot, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.