- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the White Sox
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-110) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 6-8 ATS.
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | O 9 +100 | -110 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -120 | -110 |
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.20 Units / 124% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.55 Units / 35% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 8-6 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 1.04% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 8.38% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 29.39% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -37.05% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -17.33% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -27.9% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 24.42% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -31.63% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 7% (4/53) against Kyle Gibson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .550 (11-for-20) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has struck out just 12% (4/34) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (42/226) against Kyle Gibson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 0 Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 19 of 100 batters (19%) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (12-for-93) against Michael Kopech’s inside fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (65/361) against Michael Kopech since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are 18-11 (.621) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Orioles are 38-11 (.776) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Orioles are 71-73 (.493) when underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Orioles are 37-41 (.474) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The White Sox are just 38-47 (.447) at home since the 2022 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The White Sox are just 8-64 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .496 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are batting just .227 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles hitters have 469 strikeouts in 1,876 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 302 walks in 5,224 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 108 extra-base hits out of 348 total hits (just 31%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The White Sox are batting .273 against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .442 (97 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 40 of 531 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 100 of 1,561 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 9.25 (36.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against White Sox pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The White Sox have allowed 9.25 runs per game (37/4) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.73.
White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Foot, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
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