- The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Yankees starting pitcher: Randy Vásquez
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Wednesday, July 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 49-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 47-39 ATS.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+9.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Billy McKinney has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 55% ROI)
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Randy Vasquez | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 away games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+12.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games at home (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 49-35 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units / 11.11% ROI).
- 49-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 11.03% ROI
- 43-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 4.02% ROI
- 36-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -12.2% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 47-39 against the Run Line (+9.1 Units / 8.57% ROI).
- 48-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 5.5% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -14.26% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 5.13% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .490 (25-for-51) against Dean Kremer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .288 (105-for-365) against Dean Kremer this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — fourth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (23 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (79/260) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 96-6 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Orioles are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 66-46 (.589) after a loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 27-47 (.365) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Yankees are 14-10 (.583) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 35-30 (.538) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .233 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles are 70-41 (.625) against the run line (17.2% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 58% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Orioles on 46% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.. *
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 230 walks in 2,202 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,625 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 80% of their games (51.2% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .178 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 40% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have allowed 0.94 runs per game (81/86) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (1165.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Cionel Pérez (Orioles): Forearm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Austin Hays (Orioles): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
