• The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES | ESUN

The Baltimore Orioles (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on May 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 15-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 17-14 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-3, 4.80 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 3-0, 2.62 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.30 Units / 288% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in his last 9 games (+9.95 Units / 103% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 74% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+7.65 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-17 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -7.51% ROI).

• 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -10.89% ROI
• 20-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.85 Units / 22.95% ROI
• 11-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -32.16% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 17-14 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 16.69% ROI).

• 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.3% ROI
• 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -19.79% ROI
• 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 10.33% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 2-90 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Orioles are just 75-11 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 7-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .759.

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Yankees are 16-1 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .850.

The Yankees are 43-35 (.551) after a loss since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .223 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .140 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .226 on the road since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .780 (5,335 PA’s) against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .693 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 34 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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