- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 31-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 28-22 ATS.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 69.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+17.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+14.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 48 games (+3.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 31-17 against the Run Line (+13.05 Units / 21.86% ROI).
- 31-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 20.59% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 6.55% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -13.55% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 28-22 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 12.03% ROI).
- 30-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 10.77% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -9.95% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.17% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .168 (31-for-185) against Tyler Wells this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .141 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .214 (196 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .187 (107 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (32/139) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (22/116) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (11/63) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of 1.503 (42 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .736 — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 5-2 (.714) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Orioles are 30-13 (.698) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Orioles are 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Orioles are 9-10 (.474) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 25-38 (.397) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Yankees are 8-2 (.800) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
25% of Orioles hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Orioles are 130-79 (.619) against the run line (14.2% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 69% at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 213 walks in 1,972 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 51 walks in 423 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 123 of 1,873 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 54% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 42% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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