• The Yankees are -235 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES

The Baltimore Orioles (+190) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-235) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 15-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 19-14 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trey Gibson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-1, 2.09 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 71.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.30 Units / 191% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 65% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+23.50 Units / 294% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 56% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 away games (+2.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.55 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-19 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -13.45% ROI).

• 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -15.29% ROI
• 22-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.85 Units / 26.99% ROI
• 11-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -36.1% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 19-14 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 22.13% ROI).

• 22-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 4.96% ROI
• 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -13% ROI
• 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 3.98% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 3-14 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Orioles are just 2-92 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Orioles are just 1-6 (.143) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (second in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 75-11 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Yankees are 22-11 (.667) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .760.

The Yankees are 101-29 (.777) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .215 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .197 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters are slugging .696 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .790 (2,104 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 20 extra-base hits out of 39 total hits (51%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.74 (43.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 38 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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