• The Yankees are -225 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES

The Baltimore Orioles (+185) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on May 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 15-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 20-14 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 1-2, 4.32 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 4-1, 1.51 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
• Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 64% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.50 Units / 250% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 64% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-20 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -15.5% ROI).

• 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -17.33% ROI
• 23-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.85 Units / 28.86% ROI
• 11-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -37.99% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 20-14 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 23.95% ROI).

• 23-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 6.48% ROI
• 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -9.93% ROI
• 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.93% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 3-15 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Orioles are just 1-7 (.125) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (second in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 14-60 (.189) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Orioles are just 2-93 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Yankees are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .760.

The Yankees are 23-11 (.676) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .111.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .225 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .202 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .742 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,113 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 8.47 (51.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .454 this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.01 (301.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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