• The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-135) on September 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 79-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 82-78 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 6-15, 4.08 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz 0-3, 5.47 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Pete Alonso has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+16.10 Units / 161% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.34 Units / 53% ROI)
• Carlos Narváez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Carlos Narváez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 52% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+33.50 Units / 419% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 55% ROI)
• Luis García Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 70% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.60 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.40 Units / 14% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 50% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 85-75 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 2.48% ROI).

• 79-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -4.89% ROI
• 80-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -2.64% ROI
• 77-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -5.67% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 82-78 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 7.86% ROI).

• 93-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -0.97% ROI
• 76-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -7.04% ROI
• 80-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -1.95% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 4-7 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 39-4 (.907) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 55-8 (.873) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 42-26 (.618) after a loss this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 84-23 (.785) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .198 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .234 this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,922 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .173 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 58% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (3,106/6,152 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (716.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (1441.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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