- The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Athletics
- Padres starting pitcher: Matthew Waldron
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mason Miller
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The San Diego Padres (-140) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+115) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Padres vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 70-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 73-74 ATS.
Padres vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -110 | -140 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -110 | +115 |
Padres vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+17.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 40 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Campusano has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.95 Units / 142% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Shea Langeliers has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Athletics vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
Athletics vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Athletics vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Athletics vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Waldron | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 72-76 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -5.49% ROI).
- 70-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -35.65 Units / -16.53% ROI
- 63-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.95 Units / -12.7% ROI
- 75-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 4.04% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-74 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -2.93% ROI).
- 46-101 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -17.16% ROI
- 76-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 1.99% ROI
- 65-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -11.23% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
27 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Freeland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (279/503) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Kyle Freeland had a strike rate of just 62% (1,393/2,228) against right-handed batters in 2022 — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to June 24th — Kenta Maeda has the longest active streak at 11.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 0% (0/7) against Mason Miller — tied for lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Mason Miller has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.1 innings pitched — Cole Ragans has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Mason Miller has allowed an OPS of just .220 (14 PA’s) — 14th best among among 246 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .687 — 94th Percentile.
Mason Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .077 (1 Total Bases / 13 ABs) — tied for 15th best among among 246 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .379 — 94th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Padres are just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Padres are just 1-64 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are just 9-34 (.209) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 26-73 (.263) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 83-60 (.580) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are just 14-33 (.298) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,533 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Padres hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Padres are just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH (3,572 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 15 of 105 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres have allowed 3.74 runs per game (584/156) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.12 (626.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.54 (1288.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Athletics vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D60
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Gary Sánchez (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Padres): Elbow, D10
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
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