- The Padres are -175 favorites vs the Athletics
- Padres starting pitcher: Nicholas Martinez
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joseph Boyle
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The San Diego Padres (-175) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+145) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Padres vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 71-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 73-75 ATS.
Padres vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 +100 | -175 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -120 | +145 |
Padres vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+8.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Athletics vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Athletics vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 73-76 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -4.8% ROI).
- 71-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.65 Units / -15.96% ROI
- 63-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.05 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 76-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 4.63% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-75 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -3.73% ROI).
- 46-102 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.35 Units / -17.71% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 1.31% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -17 Units / -10.53% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .343 (24-for-70) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since last season — 12th highest among among 104 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .271 — 11th Percentile.
Nick Martinez allowed a slugging percentage of .780 (32 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away in 2022 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .349 — first Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 52% of the time (286/549) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (51/228) against Nick Martinez with runners in scoring position this season — 10th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 12th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Padres are just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .437.
The Padres are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are just 1-64 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are just 3-62 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Athletics are just 83-60 (.580) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are just 26-74 (.260) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Athletics are just 14-34 (.292) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Padres are just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .789 (1,541 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,539 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Athletics are batting just .212 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics are batting just .212 against division opponents since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .224 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH (3,591 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 14 of 105 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres have allowed 3.77 runs per game (283/75) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.65.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 639 of 5,842 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.12 (626.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Athletics): Knee, D15
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D60
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Ha-Seong Kim (Padres): Abdominal, Day-to-Day
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Gary Sánchez (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Padres): Elbow, D10
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Padres vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
