- The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Watch the game on SNET
The San Diego Padres (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Padres vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 44-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 43-51 ATS.
Padres vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +125 | O 9 +100 | -135 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | U 9 -120 | +115 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 39 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Blue Jays vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Joe Musgrove | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 87 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 41 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 46-48 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.88% ROI).
- 44-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.2 Units / -17.69% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.1 Units / -16.25% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 7.66% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 43-51 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -9.27% ROI).
- 53-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -3.87% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -11.33% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.56% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
keys to the game – away
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
keys to the game – home
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 285 walks in 2,479 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Padres are batting just .199 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Padres are batting just .226 on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,296 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Padres pitchers over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 704 of 9,608 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 21% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Side, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Knee, D15
- Preston Tucker (Padres): Foot, D10
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Michael Wacha (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
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