Padres vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:05 AM
  • The Brewers (33-22) are -130 favorites vs the Padres (32-21)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (1-0), 3.21 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (5-1), 2.48 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The San Diego Padres (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Padres vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 32-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 24-31 ATS.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -185O 7.5 +100+110
Brewers -1.5 +150U 7.5 -120-130

Padres vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+7.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+3.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1H Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 away games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+4.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1H Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1H Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 29-24 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 5.16% ROI).

  • 32-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 11.07% ROI
  • 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -15.63% ROI
  • 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 8.43% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 24-31 against the Run Line (-7.8 Units / -12.07% ROI).

  • 33-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.02% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -7.08% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.83% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Eric Lauer has a strikeout rate of 50% (21 SO in 42 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (56/163) against Eric Lauer on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of 1.678 (33 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.012 — first Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed an OBP of just .164 (116 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 96th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

No Matchup notes for this Game

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

No Matchup notes for this Game

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are slugging .277 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,166 of their 3,497 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .687 (2,148 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (609 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Brewers are batting just .209 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .179 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .130 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Brewers pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Willy Adames (Brewers): Ankle, D10
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): COVID-19, D10
  • Luis Urías (Brewers): Thumb, Day-to-Day
  • Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
  • Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Ankle, D15
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D15
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Ankle, D10
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Clevinger (Padres): Triceps, D15
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michel Baez (Padres): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.