• The Brewers are -150 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Padres / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Padres are against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are ATS.

Padres vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-1, 7.01 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 3-1, 2.46 ERA

Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+12.90 Units / 184% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.75 Units / 72% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+14.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Brewers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Padres are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Padres are 12-7 (.632) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .459.

The Padres are 25-17 (.595) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Brewers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Brewers are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Brewers are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Brewers are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .297 (1,248 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .275 (872 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .603 (872 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

Brewers hitters are slugging just .297 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 467 of their 1,552 plate appearances (30%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .612 (478 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .332 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .269 against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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