- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on BSMW
The San Diego Padres (-200) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+165) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Padres vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 61-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 62-69 ATS.
Padres vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -125 | O 9 +100 | -200 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 +105 | U 9 -120 | +165 |
Padres vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 73.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+21.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 43 games (+17.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+13.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+13.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Adam Wainwright has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.20 Units / 44% ROI)
Cardinals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -140 |
| Adam Wainwright | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 124 games (+14.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 121 games (+12.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.26 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 away games (+3.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 away games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 61 games (+3.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 63-68 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -6.64% ROI).
- 61-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -35 Units / -18.17% ROI
- 53-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.2 Units / -16.59% ROI
- 69-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.2 Units / 7.85% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 62-69 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -7.46% ROI).
- 56-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -36.6 Units / -21.48% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -1.74% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 64 of 487 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 45% (163/360) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .138 (37-for-269) against Blake Snell’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (398/1,095) against Blake Snell this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has an ERA of 8.61 (77.1 IP)this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 4.32 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .379 (85-for-224) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .358 (67-for-187) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres are just 2-9 (.182) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Padres are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are just 12-60 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Padres are just 52-29 (.642) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals are just 2-56 (.034) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-63 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,136 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Liberatore (Cardinals): Back, D15
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Barnes (Cardinals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Abdomen, D10
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Padres): Rib, D10
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D15
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
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