Padres vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres (37-24) are -135 favorites vs the Cubs (23-36)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (5-3), 3.60 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (1-5), 4.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Diego Padres (-135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 37-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 31-28 ATS.

Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +120O 9 -110-135
Cubs +1.5 -145U 9 -110+110

Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 75.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 43% ROI)

Cubs vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 375 0.5 -700
Frank Schwindel 0.5 375 0.5 -700
Ian Happ 0.5 500 0.5 -1100
Jason Heyward 0.5 650 0.5 -2000
Nico Hoerner 0.5 750 0.5 -3000

Cubs vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 -225 0.5 150
Frank Schwindel 0.5 -250 0.5 165
Ian Happ 0.5 -190 0.5 135
Jason Heyward 0.5 -150 0.5 105
Nick Madrigal 0.5 -200 0.5 140

Cubs vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 180 0.5 -275
Frank Schwindel 0.5 130 0.5 -190
Ian Happ 0.5 185 0.5 -275
Jason Heyward 0.5 210 0.5 -300
Nick Madrigal 0.5 250 0.5 -375

Cubs vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
Yu Darvish 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 33-28 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 6.2% ROI).

  • 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 8.9% ROI
  • 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -10.95% ROI
  • 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3.44% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-28 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -2.05% ROI).

  • 23-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -18.97% ROI
  • 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -2.38% ROI
  • 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -5.93% ROI

Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .094 (3 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 98th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (30 Total Bases / 123 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 98th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .246 (134 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 88th Percentile.

Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Justin Steele on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.

Justin Steele has a strike rate of just 60% (513/855) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Justin Steele has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (112/211) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Justin Steele has walked 19 of 156 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Padres are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Padres are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Padres are 15-3 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Padres are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Cubs are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Cubs are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Cubs are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Cubs are just 12-16 (.429) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .650 (1,650 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Padres hitters are slugging just .347 against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Padres hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of just .170 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .163 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

Cubs hitters have 559 strikeouts in 2,251 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .144 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Padres pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .332 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Cubs pitchers over the past seven days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 21% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.