- The Padres (37-24) are -135 favorites vs the Cubs (23-36)
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (5-3), 3.60 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (1-5), 4.78 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Diego Padres (-135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 37-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 31-28 ATS.
Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -110 | -135 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -110 | +110 |
Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s matchup with 75.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 82% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cubs vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 150 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 165 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 135 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 105 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 140 |
Cubs vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 250 | 0.5 -375 |
Cubs vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Yu Darvish | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 33-28 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 6.2% ROI).
- 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 8.9% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -10.95% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3.44% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-28 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -2.05% ROI).
- 23-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -18.97% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -5.93% ROI
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .094 (3 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .362 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 98th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (30 Total Bases / 123 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 98th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .246 (134 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 88th Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Justin Steele on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strike rate of just 60% (513/855) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Justin Steele has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (112/211) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Steele has walked 19 of 156 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Padres are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Padres are 15-3 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Padres are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Cubs are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Cubs are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Cubs are just 12-16 (.429) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .650 (1,650 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Padres hitters are slugging just .347 against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Padres hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of just .170 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .163 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
Cubs hitters have 559 strikeouts in 2,251 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .144 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Padres pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .332 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Cubs pitchers over the past seven days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 21% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
- Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10
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