Padres vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:24 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (3-3), 3.52 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (2-5), 5.21 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The San Diego Padres () visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 38-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 31-29 ATS.

Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres O
Cubs U

Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+6.15 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)

Cubs vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 +300 0.5 -550
Frank Schwindel 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Ian Happ 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Jason Heyward 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Cubs vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Ian Happ 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jason Heyward 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Willson Contreras 1.5 +180 1.5 -275

Cubs vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Frank Schwindel 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Ian Happ 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jason Heyward 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sean Manaea 5.5 -130 5.5 -110
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 34-28 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 7.69% ROI).

  • 38-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 9.94% ROI
  • 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -12.54% ROI
  • 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 4.83% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-29 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -3.83% ROI).

  • 23-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -20.18% ROI
  • 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -4.15% ROI
  • 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.32% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .085 (6-for-71) against Sean Manaea’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .085 (11-for-130) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .099 (7 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .074 (2-for-27) against Sean Manaea — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .779 (60 Total Bases / 77 ABs) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (807/1,034) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 1.193 (87 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Padres are 21-11 (.656) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Padres are 32-8 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Padres are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Padres are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Cubs are just 11-21 (.344) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Cubs are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Cubs are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Cubs are 18-1 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,201 of their 3,613 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters are slugging .259 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 1,559 strikeouts in 6,003 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cubs have won just 48% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 34% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Padres have won 61% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .142 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Cubs vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.