- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (3-3), 3.52 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (2-5), 5.21 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The San Diego Padres () visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 38-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 31-29 ATS.
Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | O | ||
| Cubs | U |
Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+6.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+6.15 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willson Contreras | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Manaea | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 17 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 34-28 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 7.69% ROI).
- 38-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 9.94% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -12.54% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 4.83% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-29 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -3.83% ROI).
- 23-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -20.18% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.32% ROI
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .085 (6-for-71) against Sean Manaea’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .085 (11-for-130) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .099 (7 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .074 (2-for-27) against Sean Manaea — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .779 (60 Total Bases / 77 ABs) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (807/1,034) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 1.193 (87 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are 21-11 (.656) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Padres are 32-8 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Padres are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Padres are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs are just 11-21 (.344) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Cubs are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Cubs are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Cubs are 18-1 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,201 of their 3,613 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters are slugging .259 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 1,559 strikeouts in 6,003 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs have won just 48% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 34% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 61% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .142 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
- Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10
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