Padres vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 10:51 AM
  • The Cubs (23-38) are -145 favorites vs the Padres (39-24)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers (-), ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Caleb Kilian (0-0), 5.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The San Diego Padres (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).

The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 39-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 31-30 ATS.

Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -155O 12 -115+120
Cubs -1.5 +130U 12 -105-145

Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 69.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+5.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 32 away games (+17.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 35-28 against the Run Line (+7.3 Units / 9.01% ROI).

    • 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 10.93% ROI
    • 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -10.86% ROI
    • 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3.34% ROI

    Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 31-30 against the Run Line (-4.4 Units / -5.44% ROI).

    • 23-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.55 Units / -21.35% ROI
    • 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -2.59% ROI
    • 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -5.75% ROI

    No Matchup notes for this Game

    Caleb Kilian: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Caleb Kilian has limited playing time.

    Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

    The Padres are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Padres are 10-3 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

    The Padres are 22-11 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

    The Padres are 17-3 (.850) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

    Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

    The Cubs are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Cubs are just 11-22 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Cubs are just 13-86 (.131) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

    The Cubs are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

    Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

    The Padres have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

    Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,219 of their 3,642 plate appearances (34%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The Padres have a winning percentage of 62% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    The Cubs have won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

    The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 33% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

    Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Cubs hitters have 1,982 strikeouts in 7,643 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

    The Padres have won 64% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

    Padres pitchers have walked 35 of 572 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Cubs vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.