• The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Cubs Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
• Padres / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on June 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Padres are 43-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 34-50 ATS.

Padres vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: JP Sears 1-0, 3.18 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-1, 5.09 ERA

Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+27.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.10 Units / 53% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 68% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+17.90 Units / 179% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 58% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 44-37 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 1.02% ROI).

• 43-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.36% ROI
• 36-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -14.62% ROI
• 45-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 6.26% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 34-50 against the Run Line (-16.8 Units / -16.79% ROI).

• 47-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -0.82% ROI
• 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.83% ROI
• 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -10.6% ROI

Cubs vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Padres are 28-2 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Padres are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Padres are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .943.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Cubs are 29-17 (.630) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Cubs are 24-2 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Cubs are just 5-14 (.263) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Cubs are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,041 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .628 (1,761 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .210 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .666 (2,296 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,428 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are just 5-17 (.227) against the run line (-59.4% ROI) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Padres (eighth in runs allowed).

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .373 (327 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .278 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (2,143 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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