• The Padres are -102 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Padres vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Padres / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-102) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-118) on August 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Padres are 58-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 59-49 ATS.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 6-7, 3.38 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 5-1, 4.00 ERA

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+18.50 Units / 264% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 60% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 59% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+12.10 Units / 173% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.50 Units / 115% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.35 Units / 76% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 51% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 59-51 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 1.41% ROI).

• 58-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.68% ROI
• 51-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -11.2% ROI
• 59-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 2.69% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 59-49 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.63% ROI).

• 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 5.84% ROI
• 47-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.7 Units / -14.31% ROI
• 59-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 6.43% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Diamondbacks are 52-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 25-14 (.641) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Padres (21st in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 52-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting .379 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .355 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .666 (2,059 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .245 with two outs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations this season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 209 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 590 times this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers put 40% of their swings in play this season — tied for highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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