- The Padres (45-30) are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (33-41)
- Padres starting pitcher: Sean Manaea (3-3), 3.87 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (4-2), 2.78 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on Tuesday, June 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 45-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 41-33 ATS.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -110 | -110 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -110 | -110 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 68.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+10.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Luke Voit has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 games (+13.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 93% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 97% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Buddy Kennedy | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
| Sean Manaea | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+9.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+7.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 40-35 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 6.25% ROI).
- 45-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 6.97% ROI
- 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 4.44% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 41-33 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 4.82% ROI).
- 33-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 32-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -14.06% ROI
- 40-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 5.1% ROI
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are 24-14 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Padres are 37-9 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Padres are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 20-5 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 82-21 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-27 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 90-14 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Diamondbacks are just 32-37 (.464) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .225 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Padres are batting .244 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Padres hitters are slugging .590 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Padres are batting .330 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .188 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .166 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .187 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .184 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres have won 59% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .162 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.1
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Manuel Machado (Padres): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Trenton Grisham (Padres): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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