Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 06, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Dodgers (73-33) are -155 favorites vs the Padres (61-48)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (3-3), 3.13 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 0.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 61-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 65-41 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -150O 8.5 +100+125
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 8.5 -120-155

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 77.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 35 away games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+14.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 37 away games (+12.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 103 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 55 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games at home (+13.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Gavin Lux 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Joey Gallo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Joey Gallo 0.5 -120 0.5 -115

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Gavin Lux 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Joey Gallo 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Clevinger 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 84 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 away games (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 away games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 103 games (+22.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 102 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 106 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 51-58 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -6.17% ROI).

  • 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -7.51% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.24% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-41 against the Run Line (+20.85 Units / 16.53% ROI).

  • 73-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 2.06% ROI
  • 41-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -17.89% ROI
  • 56-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.3 Units / 8.81% ROI

Mike Clevinger has walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Mike Clevinger — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.9 MPH this season (166 balls in play) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Mike Clevinger has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 2 double plays in 40 opportunities (5%) this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 11% — ninth Percentile.

Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (97/303) against Andrew Heaney since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has averaged 80.0 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .616 (125 Total Bases / 203 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .448 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Padres are 9-6 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.

The Padres are 51-13 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Dodgers are 115-47 (.710) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Dodgers are 22-76 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Dodgers are 66-13 (.835) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

The Padres are batting .175 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .159.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,417 of their 4,299 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,124 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (7,304 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The Padres have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH this season (2,473 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (1199.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 261 of 3,830 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.