- The Dodgers (74-33) are -135 favorites vs the Padres (61-49)
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (10-4), 3.29 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (12-1), 2.88 ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 61-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 66-41 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +110 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 72.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 36 away games (+17.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 away games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 104 games (+16.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 42 games at home (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 56 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Gallo | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Joey Gallo | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Gallo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
| Yu Darvish | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 85 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 109 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 104 games (+23.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 34 games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 103 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 51-59 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -7.21% ROI).
- 61-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.17% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 66-41 against the Run Line (+22.15 Units / 17.43% ROI).
- 74-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 2.51% ROI
- 42-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -16.88% ROI
- 56-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 7.75% ROI
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .152 (52-for-342) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .144 (153 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .326 (153 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .612 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 11% (21/199) against Yu Darvish this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.1 MPH (305 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.5 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .159 (24 Total Bases / 151 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH this season (305 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 88.7
Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (661/1,095) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 50-6 (.893) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Padres are 51-13 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Padres are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Dodgers are 67-13 (.838) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Dodgers are 37-15 (.712) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Dodgers are 56-4 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,420 of their 4,315 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Padres hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Padres hitters have drawn 681 walks in 7,323 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres are batting just .232 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,134 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,845 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7
Padres pitchers have walked 58 of 986 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .179 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Padres have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (1199.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (2,517 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,232 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, D10
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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