Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (74-33) are -135 favorites vs the Padres (61-49)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (10-4), 3.29 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson (12-1), 2.88 ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 61-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 66-41 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -175O 8.5 +100+110
Dodgers -1.5 +145U 8.5 -120-135

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 72.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 36 away games (+17.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 away games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 104 games (+16.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 42 games at home (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 56 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Gavin Lux 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Joey Gallo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Joey Gallo 0.5 -120 0.5 -115

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Gavin Lux 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Joey Gallo 0.5 +160 0.5 -250

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Yu Darvish 6.5 +100 6.5 -140
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 85 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 109 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 104 games (+23.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 34 games (+17.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 103 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 51-59 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -7.21% ROI).

  • 61-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.74% ROI
  • 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -6.61% ROI
  • 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.17% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 66-41 against the Run Line (+22.15 Units / 17.43% ROI).

  • 74-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 2.51% ROI
  • 42-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -16.88% ROI
  • 56-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 7.75% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .152 (52-for-342) against Yu Darvish’s fastball since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .144 (153 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OPS of just .326 (153 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .612 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of just 11% (21/199) against Yu Darvish this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.

Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.1 MPH (305 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.5 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .159 (24 Total Bases / 151 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 96th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH this season (305 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Hitters have swung at 60% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (661/1,095) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are just 50-6 (.893) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Padres are 21-8 (.724) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Padres are 51-13 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Padres are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 37-18 (.673) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Dodgers are 67-13 (.838) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Dodgers are 37-15 (.712) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Dodgers are 56-4 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,420 of their 4,315 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Padres hitters have drawn 681 walks in 7,323 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Padres are batting just .232 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,134 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,845 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 69% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.7

Padres pitchers have walked 58 of 986 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .179 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

The Padres have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (1199.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.1 MPH this season (2,517 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,232 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Turner (Dodgers): Abdomen, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.