Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (47-28) are -175 favorites vs the Padres (46-32)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-5), 5.60 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (9-0), 1.58 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 46-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-32 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -140O 7.5 -120+145
Dodgers -1.5 +115U 7.5 +100-175

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+12.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Gavin Lux has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Gavin Lux 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Justin Turner 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Gavin Lux 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Justin Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Taylor 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gavin Lux 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Justin Turner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tony Gonsolin 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
Blake Snell 5.5 -160 5.5 +115
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 53 games (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 75 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 71 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 41-37 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 4.43% ROI).

  • 46-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 5.72% ROI
  • 34-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.75 Units / -13.76% ROI
  • 42-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 5.37% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 43-32 against the Run Line (+7.9 Units / 8.86% ROI).

  • 47-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -6.75% ROI
  • 29-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.15 Units / -18.34% ROI
  • 40-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.85 Units / 9.5% ROI

Blake Snell has walked 74 of 552 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (77 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Blake Snell has walked 88 of 706 batters (12%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 91 of 708 right-handed batters (13%) since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .157 (40-for-255) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .107 (18-for-169) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .166 (28 Total Bases / 169 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .112 (31-for-278) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are just 34-6 (.850) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Padres are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Padres are 21-16 (.568) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Padres are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Dodgers are 22-5 (.815) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .678.

The Dodgers are 100-44 (.694) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Dodgers are 88-21 (.807) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .649.

The Padres are batting just .225 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,289 of their 3,872 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

The Padres have a winning percentage of 61% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .437 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Dodgers hitters have drawn 657 walks in 6,473 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Padres have won 59% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .161 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.

Padres pitchers have walked 41 of 705 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.99 (1084.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,748 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 679 of 8,669 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Zachary McKinstry (Dodgers): Neck, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.