Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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  • The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 43-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-45 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 5-7, 3.54 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 8-2, 1.59 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -102O 8 -115+200
Dodgers -1.5 -118U 8 -105-250

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 72.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.30 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Samad Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Max Muncy has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+12.40 Units / 177% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 44-40 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -2.73% ROI).

  • 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -2.62% ROI
  • 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -10.96% ROI
  • 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 2.49% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-45 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -3.17% ROI).

  • 57-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 42-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -9.07% ROI
  • 46-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.21% ROI

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +210
Max Muncy +280
Andy Pages +333
Freddie Freeman +340
Mookie Betts +360

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Andy Pages 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mookie Betts 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Dalton Rushing 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Freddy Fermin 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Padres are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Padres are 4-40 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Padres are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 57-31 (.648) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .632.

The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Dodgers are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .677 (3,165 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,581 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .215 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .375 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .278 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .817 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 this season — best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .269 against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 1.12 runs per game (96/86) in late innings this season — 5th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Dodgers have allowed 3.43 runs per game (161/47) on the road this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.