Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 5

Los Angeles Dodgers' Max Muncy celebrates his solo home run off Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow during the second inning of a baseball game Saturday, May 27, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
Sportsbook PromosNew Player Offer
  • The Dodgers are -220 favorites vs the Padres
  • Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The San Diego Padres (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-220) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 43-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 44-46 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: JP Sears 1-1, 6.97 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Emmet Sheehan 4-5, 5.15 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres+1.5 -115O 9.5 -102+180
Dodgers -1.5 -105U 9.5 -118-220

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 71.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 45-41 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.64% ROI).

  • 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.6 Units / -12.98% ROI
  • 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 4.5% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 44-46 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -3.33% ROI).

  • 59-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI
  • 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -11.09% ROI
  • 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.82% ROI

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +200
Teoscar Hernandez +240
Max Muncy +270
Tommy Edman +280
Andy Pages +280

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Pages 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mookie Betts 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ty France 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Dalton Rushing 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Padres are 4-42 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Padres are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 32-1 (.970) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

The Padres are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Dodgers are 27-4 (.871) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .634.

The Dodgers are 29-14 (.674) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Dodgers are 5-21 (.192) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,581 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .224 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .215 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .673 (3,234 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .365 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .278 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .817 (1,930 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .348 (3,483 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 173 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .216 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.