- The Dodgers (46-28) are -135 favorites vs the Padres (46-31)
- Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (8-1), 2.11 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-1), 4.24 ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) on Thursday, June 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 46-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 42-32 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.70 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 82% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 37 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Chris Taylor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 50% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Lamb | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Lamb | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Lamb | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch White | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
| Joe Musgrove | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 52% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 71 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 74 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 41-36 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 6.38% ROI).
- 46-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 6.72% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -12.69% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 4.27% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 42-32 against the Run Line (+6.3 Units / 7.14% ROI).
- 46-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 29-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -17.29% ROI
- 39-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 8.41% ROI
Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has walked 5 of 153 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of just .579 (333 PA’s) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 90th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .253 (332 PA’s) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 93rd Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .237 (152 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 97th Percentile.
Mitchell White: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (31/100) against Mitch White since the start of last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (5/48) against Mitch White on sliders since the start of last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (15-for-105) against Mitch White versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .214 — 97th Percentile.
Mitch White has allowed an OBP of just .188 (112 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 37-5 (.881) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
The Padres are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Padres are 38-9 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Padres are 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 22-5 (.815) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .678.
The Dodgers are 35-3 (.921) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Dodgers are 20-12 (.625) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Dodgers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .734 (1,609 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Padres hitters are slugging .265 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,444 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .329 (4,926 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 456.4
Padres pitchers have walked 41 of 697 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Padres have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres have won 59% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (367.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,721 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Markus Betts (Dodgers): Rib, D10
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Zachary McKinstry (Dodgers): Neck, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D15
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Caleb Ferguson (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D15
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Manuel Machado (Padres): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
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