- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 20-18 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | O 9 +100 | +115 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -120 | -135 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+9.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 29 games (+11.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Matt Carpenter | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Matt Carpenter | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Carpenter | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| May | 5.5 +140 | 5.5 -185 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+12.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 20-18 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -3.34% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -11.92% ROI
- 13-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -30.34% ROI
- 23-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.05 Units / 22.07% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 20-18 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 9.06% ROI).
- 23-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -1.44% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 8.32% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -16.09% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 57% (309/545) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (56/157 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (46/145) against Blake Snell when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 48% (98/202) when ahead in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .164 (23-for-140) against Dustin May this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (48/296) against Dustin May this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed a slugging percentage of just .236 (33 Total Bases / 140 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (7/64) against Dustin May with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 21-31 (.404) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Padres are 27-29 (.482) when underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Padres are 15-2 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Padres are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Dodgers are 2-14 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are just 2-5 (.286) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Dodgers are 36-12 (.750) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .206 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .324 (3,909 PA’s) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Padres hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
The Padres are batting just .211 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,564 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 100 double plays in 1,463 opportunities (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .775 (2,361 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Padres pitchers have walked 4 of 102 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres pitchers are throwing 4.04 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 509 of 7,268 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (1607.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 102 of 1,403 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Noah Syndergaard (Dodgers): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- José Azocar (Padres): Elbow Inflammation, D10
- David Dahl (Padres): Quad, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D10
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