- The Dodgers are -155 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 19-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 22-18 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -110 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 -110 | -155 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+11.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| JD Martinez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 20-20 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -9.07% ROI).
- 19-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -15.06% ROI
- 13-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -33.89% ROI
- 25-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.05 Units / 25.64% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 22-18 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 15.06% ROI).
- 25-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 1.85% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 2.71% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -10.74% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 52% (16/31) in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 10% (2/20) against Ryan Weathers on changeups this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .143 (3 GB hits out of 21 GBs) against Ryan Weathers this season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 93rd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Ryan Weathers’ pitches (131/304) this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 48% — eighth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .131 (43-for-329) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .175 (89-for-510) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OPS of just .541 (556 PA’s) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .706 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (56-for-438) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Padres are 21-31 (.404) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Padres are just 4-75 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Padres are 15-2 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are just 2-5 (.286) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Dodgers are 38-12 (.760) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Dodgers are 71-30 (.703) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .205 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
The Padres are batting just .151 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Padres hitters have drawn 530 walks in 5,357 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (5,600 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,376 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Dodgers hitters have 145 extra-base hits out of 304 total hits (48%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .298 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Padres pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Padres pitchers are throwing 4.02 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 510 of 7,335 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.37 runs per game (340/101) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D15
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- José Azocar (Padres): Elbow Inflammation, D10
- David Dahl (Padres): Quad, D10
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D10
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