- The Dodgers (0-0) are -250 favorites vs the Padres (2-1)
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (-), – ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The San Diego Padres (+190) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Tuesday, October 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:37pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 91-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 97-65 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -110 | +190 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -110 | -250 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 62 away games (+13.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+15.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tony Gonsolin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Taylor | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Urias | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
| Mike Clevinger | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 140 games (+12.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 159 games (+27.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 89 games (+17.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+16.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 75-90 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -10.39% ROI).
- 91-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -4.64% ROI
- 77-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -7.56% ROI
- 83-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -0.88% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 97-65 against the Run Line (+26.25 Units / 13.34% ROI).
- 111-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 1.78% ROI
- 67-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.65 Units / -14.39% ROI
- 84-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.95 Units / 5.58% ROI
Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Clevinger has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (33 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .427 — sixth Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has not walked any of the 21 batters that he has faced this month (1 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .272 (56-for-206) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (71/208) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.
Julio Urías: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (912/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (152 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.9
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 72% (1,048/1,461) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (1,807/2,622) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 93rd Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 31-12 (.721) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Padres are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres are 32-9 (.780) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Padres are 46-37 (.554) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 43-3 (.935) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Dodgers are 56-24 (.700) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .327 (3,337 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .307.
The Padres are batting just .230 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 67% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 11 of 71 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Padres pitchers have walked 12 of 89 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Dodgers have allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Amaya (Dodgers): Undisclosed, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Phillip Bickford (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.