- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 68-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 81-63 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | O 8 +100 | +105 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -120 | -125 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+21.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 away games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 away games (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.73 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 75 of their last 124 games (+27.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 118 games (+24.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 59 games (+16.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+8.34 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.18 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 70-76 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -6.7% ROI).
- 68-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -37.8 Units / -17.77% ROI
- 62-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 74-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 4.16% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 81-63 against the Run Line (+21.05 Units / 12.2% ROI).
- 88-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 1.82% ROI
- 84-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +25.55 Units / 16.06% ROI
- 53-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -38.6 Units / -24.45% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 2-12 (.143) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres are just 14-27 (.341) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Padres are just 11-112 (.089) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Padres are just 4-58 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 174-27 (.866) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers are 71-35 (.670) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Dodgers are 74-7 (.914) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Dodgers are 38-16 (.704) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Padres are just 2-12 (.143) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,510 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Wander Suero (Dodgers): Back, D15
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Gus Varland (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Padres): Rib, D10
- Timothy Hill (Padres): Finger, D60
- Steven Wilson (Padres): Hip, D15
- Jacob Cronenworth (Padres): Wrist, D10
- Alek Jacob (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Drew Carlton (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Gary Sánchez (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Joseph Musgrove (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Yu Darvish (Padres): Elbow, D15
- David Knehr (Padres): Elbow, D60
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