- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Padres / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Monday, August 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA, CA.
This season, the Padres are 66-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 49-68 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 1-3, 6.51 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 10-8, 3.27 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | O 7 +100 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -120 | -125 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+25.00 Units / 625% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 73% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.20 Units / 170% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 56 away games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 104 games (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+15.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 63-55 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 3.31% ROI).
- 66-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 50-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -16.38% ROI
- 65-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.2 Units / 7.86% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 49-68 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -14.17% ROI).
- 59-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.3 Units / -10.1% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -8.08% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.77% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Logan Webb (SF) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (43/129) against Yu Darvish on non-fastballs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown off-speed pitches 72% of the time (52/72) this month (1 game) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (501/1,024) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Yu Darvish threw breaking pitches 51% of the time (638/1,261) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 50% with two strikes this season — ninth highest among qualified SPs– 84th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 39% with two strikes last season — ninth lowest among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (351/617) against Logan Webb in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 43% (47 SO in 109 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .447 (34-for-76) against Logan Webb on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 27-7 (.794) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Giants (Ranks 23rd runs scored) today.
The Padres are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Padres are just 6-27 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Padres are 22-14 (.611) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Giants (Ranks eighth runs allowed) today.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 9-48 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Giants are just 47-4 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Giants are 4-52 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Giants are 11-45 (.196) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .213 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Giants hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .618 (1,123 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Giants hitters are slugging .930 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .561.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Padres pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
