- The Giants (61-65) are -125 favorites vs the Padres (70-59)
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger (4-5), 3.58 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (12-6), 2.81 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 68-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 55-68 ATS.
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Padres | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +105 | +105 |
Giants | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -125 | -125 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+20.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 46 away games (+19.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 away games (+14.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 57 games (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Slater | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Slater | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
J.D. Davis | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Austin Slater | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
J.D. Davis | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Joey Bart | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Carlos Rodon | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -115 |
Mike Clevinger | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 56 of their last 104 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 57-69 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -10.14% ROI).
- 68-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.9 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.1% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 55-68 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -14.15% ROI).
- 60-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.7 Units / -12.85% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.5% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -5.65% ROI
Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (9/50) against Mike Clevinger this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (20/86) against Mike Clevinger this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has allowed an OPS of .786 (63 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .474 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .273 (15-for-55) against Mike Clevinger with two-strikes this month (5 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (96 SO in 239 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (47 SO in 123 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 32% (189 SO in 589 PAs) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (46 Total Bases / 204 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — 96th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 2-45 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Padres are 57-20 (.740) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Padres are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Padres are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Giants are 6-51 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 40-8 (.833) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have drawn 747 walks in 7,880 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,517 of their 4,636 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters are slugging just .374 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Giants are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .771 (3,735 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 67 of 1,152 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Padres pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Padres have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 760 of 10,736 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 158 of 2,581 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alfaro (Padres): Knee, D10
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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