Padres vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2022, 11:26 AM
  • The Padres (72-59) are -145 favorites vs the Giants (61-67)
  • Padres starting pitcher: Joseph Musgrove (8-6), 2.96 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood (8-11), 5.00 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+120) on Wednesday, August 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 70-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 56-69 ATS.

Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +120O 7.5 -105-145
Giants +1.5 -145U 7.5 -115+120

Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+18.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 48 away games (+17.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 46 away games (+14.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 57 of their last 106 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+1.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games at home (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 58-70 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -9.97% ROI).

  • 70-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -5.14% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -7.53% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.09% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 56-69 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -13.92% ROI).

  • 60-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -26 Units / -13.93% ROI
  • 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.44% ROI
  • 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -5.56% ROI

Joe Musgrove has walked 9 of 272 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has not walked any of the 60 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this month (5 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .188 (9-for-48) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .333 — 99th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of .281 (83 Total Bases / 295 ABs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 18th Percentile.

Robert Wood: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (147/400) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (270/798) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (283/863) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (497/1,436) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Padres are 58-20 (.744) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Padres are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 24-7 (.774) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Padres are just 2-45 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Giants are 22-122 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 6-53 (.102) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Giants are 48-4 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Giants are just 27-36 (.429) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are averaging 3.97 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Padres are batting just .231 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Padres hitters have an OBP of .328 (2,711 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Giants are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .213 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Giants are batting just .227 on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 58% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

Padres pitchers have walked 68 of 1,170 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Padres pitchers have walked 211 of 3,128 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 769 of 10,815 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 979 of 13,055 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D10
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Joseph Bart (Giants): Concussion, D7
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Tayler Scott (Padres): Finger, D15
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alfaro (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
  • Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.