- The Padres are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
- Giants starting pitcher: Ryan Walker
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The San Diego Padres (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Monday, June 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 35-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 37-34 ATS.
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 +100 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -120 | -105 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 53.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+21.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+9.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+8.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 35-36 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -5.7% ROI).
- 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -13.48% ROI
- 24-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.5 Units / -32.02% ROI
- 44-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.1 Units / 23.55% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 37-34 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 2.03% ROI).
- 39-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.12% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -2.31% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 13% (4/31) against Michael Wacha — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (26/85) against Michael Wacha in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 13% (4/31) against Michael Wacha over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
36 of Michael Wacha’s 69 strikeouts (52%) have come on changeups this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Walker has walked 2 of 60 batters (3%) over the last 30 days (11 games) — 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Ryan Walker has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.1 innings pitched — Yohan Ramirez has the longest active streak at 18.1.
Ryan Walker has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (15/32) over the last 14 days (5 games) — 7th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — seventh Percentile.
Ryan Walker has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (10 games) — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Padres are just 7-32 (.179) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Padres are 28-4 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Padres are 25-34 (.424) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 13-5 (.722) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Giants are 7-22 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Giants are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Giants are 26-22 (.542) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .228 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Padres hitters have drawn 220 walks in 1,866 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have 77 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (43%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Padres hitters have drawn 634 walks in 6,214 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have 681 strikeouts in 2,719 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are hitting .325 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .875 (225 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,701 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Foot, D10
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Casey Schmitt (Giants): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Preston Tucker (Padres): Foot, D10
- Thomas Cosgrove (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
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