- The Padres are -115 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres starting pitcher: Jacob Lugo
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The San Diego Padres (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 35-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 38-34 ATS.
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -115 |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | -105 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Nola | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rougned Odor | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Seth Lugo | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+20.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 35-37 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -6.74% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -14.49% ROI
- 25-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.5 Units / -30.32% ROI
- 44-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.05 Units / 21.89% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 38-34 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 3.05% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 35-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 35-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -3.61% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .203 (47-for-232) against Seth Lugo with two-strikes since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .154 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (86/458) against Seth Lugo since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (86/458) against Seth Lugo since last season — 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
9 of Seth Lugo’s 42 breaking pitch strikeouts (21%) have been backdoor since last season — tied for 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 94th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has struck out just 12% (21/168) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has a strike rate of just 56% when ahead in the count (seventh lowest)– 10th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (tied for eighth highest among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has a strikeout rate of just 22% (21 SO in 94 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/122) against Anthony DeSclafani when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 32-3 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Padres are 25-34 (.424) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Padres are 61-53 (.535) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Padres are 7-7 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 13-5 (.722) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Giants are 4-28 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Giants are 27-22 (.551) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Giants are 35-50 (.412) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Padres are batting just .217 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Padres have a winning percentage of 53% on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Games involving the Padres went UNDER in 100% of their games (93.2% ROI) after a win as underdogs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .343 (1,488 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Giants hitters have drawn 51 walks in 797 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Giants are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,731 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Foot, D10
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Preston Tucker (Padres): Foot, D10
- Thomas Cosgrove (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
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