- The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Giants starting pitcher: Robert Wood
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+125) on Thursday, June 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Padres vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 35-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 40-34 ATS.
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +115 | O 8 +100 | -145 |
| Giants | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -120 | +125 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+11.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 90% ROI)
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ha-seong Kim | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Wood | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -175 | 6.5 +135 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+22.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+13.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.24 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 28 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+11.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 55 games (+6.96 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 64 games (+5.80 Units / 8% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 35-39 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -8.75% ROI).
- 35-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -16.46% ROI
- 25-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.85 Units / -32.29% ROI
- 46-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.05 Units / 23.83% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 40-34 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 4.98% ROI).
- 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -6.89% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.05% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 40 of 318 batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 45% (40/89) against Blake Snell over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.125 (54 Total Bases / 48 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .604 — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 33 of 257 right-handed batters (13%) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (194/557) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (16/103) against Alex Wood this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Wood has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (317/955) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (197/526) against Alex Wood on inside fastballs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 49% — fourth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 7-7 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Padres are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Padres are 25-34 (.424) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Padres are 28-4 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 13-5 (.722) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Giants are 17-8 (.680) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Giants are 15-92 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Giants are 4-28 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 643 walks in 6,325 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have drawn 229 walks in 1,977 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres are batting just .216 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .621 (854 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are hitting .327 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Giants are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,488 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Giants hitters have 502 strikeouts in 2,062 PA’s (24%) against RHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 36% against the Padres pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (1,784 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 45 of 664 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Cobb (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Scott Alexander (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Foot, D10
- LaMonte Wade Jr. (Giants): Side, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Preston Tucker (Padres): Foot, D10
- Thomas Cosgrove (Padres): Hamstring, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
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