• The Marlins are -140 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Marlins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Padres / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-140) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Padres are 50-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 53-49 ATS.

Padres vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: German Marquez 4-2, 5.24 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 9-1, 2.67 ERA

Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+23.20 Units / 258% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.60 Units / 115% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Liam Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 50% ROI)
• Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 68% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+10.65 Units / 118% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+2.15 Units / 4% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 54-47 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.47% ROI).

• 50-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -4.75% ROI
• 47-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -10.85% ROI
• 54-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 2.39% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 53-49 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -2.38% ROI).

• 52-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.29% ROI
• 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 0.83% ROI
• 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -9.76% ROI

Marlins vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Padres are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Padres are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Padres are 40-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Marlins are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Marlins are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Marlins are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres are batting just .219 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .297 (908 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .351 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .286 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .534 (1,971 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .268 against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 549 times this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .230 against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 97 stolen bases this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Padres vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.