- The Padres are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
- Watch the game on BSFL
The San Diego Padres (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Padres vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 22-33 ATS.
Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -120 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -115 | +100 |
Padres vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 78% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+9.70 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Marlins vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Marlins vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Yuli Gurriel | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Blake Snell | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+17.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 44 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 27-27 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -18.12% ROI
- 18-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -33.69% ROI
- 34-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.6 Units / 25.13% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 22-33 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -24.37% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.71% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -12.7% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 4.63% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
keys to the game – away
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
keys to the game – home
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 177 walks in 1,427 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have drawn 232 walks in 2,036 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters have drawn 591 walks in 5,775 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres are batting just .222 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 59 double plays in 374 opportunities (16%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have drawn 25 walks in 492 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 27 of 407 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,328 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 481.0 feet — — tied for 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.8
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 37 of 242 batters (15%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Manuel Machado (Padres): Hand, D10
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Luis GarcÃa (Padres): Oblique, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D10
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