Padres vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 31, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Padres are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The San Diego Padres (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Padres vs Marlins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 25-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 22-33 ATS.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +135O 8.5 -105-120
Marlins +1.5 -165U 8.5 -115+100

Padres vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games at home (+9.70 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Marlins vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jon Berti 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Nick Fortes 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Yuli Gurriel 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Marlins vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Jon Berti 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Nick Fortes 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Yuli Gurriel 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Marlins vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jon Berti 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Nick Fortes 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Yuli Gurriel 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Marlins vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braxton Garrett 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
Blake Snell 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+17.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 44 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 27-27 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -7.96% ROI).

  • 25-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.1 Units / -18.12% ROI
  • 18-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.55 Units / -33.69% ROI
  • 34-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.6 Units / 25.13% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 22-33 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -24.37% ROI).

  • 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.71% ROI
  • 24-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -12.7% ROI
  • 29-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 4.63% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

keys to the game – away

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

keys to the game – home

Padres hitters have drawn 177 walks in 1,427 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Padres hitters have drawn 232 walks in 2,036 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Padres hitters have drawn 591 walks in 5,775 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Padres are batting just .222 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Marlins hitters have grounded into 59 double plays in 374 opportunities (16%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Marlins hitters have drawn 25 walks in 492 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Padres pitchers have walked 27 of 407 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,328 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 481.0 feet — — tied for 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.8

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins pitchers have walked 37 of 242 batters (15%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
  • Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
  • Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Manuel Machado (Padres): Hand, D10
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
  • José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Luis García (Padres): Oblique, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
  • Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
  • Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.