• The Padres are -118 favorites vs the Mets
• Padres vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Padres / Mets TV Channel: PDTV | SNY

The San Diego Padres (-118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-102) on August 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Padres are 67-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 56-68 ATS.

Padres vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 10-7, 3.30 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Zach Thornton 3-3, 2.82 ERA

Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.50 Units / 330% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 58% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jared Young has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+8.50 Units / 94% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 68-56 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 3.93% ROI).

• 67-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 2.99% ROI
• 56-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.75 Units / -12.76% ROI
• 67-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 4.16% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 56-68 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -8.17% ROI).

• 57-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.5 Units / -16.95% ROI
• 56-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -7.77% ROI
• 60-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -1.31% ROI

Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Padres are 8-3 (.727) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 5-3 (.625) after a win this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 8-3 (.727) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres are 5-3 (.625) after a win since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Mets are 6-2 (.750) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are 8-3 (.727) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Mets are 8-2 (.800) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

The Mets are 8-2 (.800) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres are batting .252 with two outs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 100 double plays in 825 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,403 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .387 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .694 (3,403 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (4,728 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 659 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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