• The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Mets
• Padres vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Padres / Mets TV Channel: PDTV | SNY

The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+118) on August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Padres are 68-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 56-69 ATS.

Padres vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 8-8, 3.42 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Robert Stock 0-2, 6.40 ERA

Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+15.90 Units / 159% ROI)
• Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.80 Units / 169% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.40 Units / 66% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 69-56 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 4.74% ROI).

• 68-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.64% ROI
• 56-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.85 Units / -13.44% ROI
• 68-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 4.85% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 56-69 against the Run Line (-14.35 Units / -9.1% ROI).

• 57-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.5 Units / -17.48% ROI
• 56-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -8.49% ROI
• 61-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.58% ROI

Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Padres are 8-3 (.727) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Padres are 8-3 (.727) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 5-3 (.625) after a win this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 8-3 (.727) since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Mets are 8-2 (.800) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

The Mets are 8-3 (.727) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Mets are 6-2 (.750) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are 6-2 (.750) after a win since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters are slugging just .367 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .366 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are batting .252 with two outs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres have answered-back in 38% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have 34 extra-base hits out of 129 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .649 (1,183 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .307 (4,766 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .235 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 237 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 1.09 runs per game (139/127) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 66 double plays in 889 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 451.0 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

The Mets have won just 27% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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