- The Mets (58-35) are -175 favorites vs the Padres (52-42)
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish (8-4), 3.40 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (6-1), 2.21 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-175) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Padres vs Mets Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 49-44 ATS.
Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -150 | O 7 -110 | +145 |
| Mets | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -110 | -175 |
Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 away games (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games at home (+16.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games at home (+12.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Luis Guillorme | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
| Yu Darvish | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 away games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 69 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 47 away games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+19.97 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 93 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+11.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 55 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 44-50 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -5.53% ROI).
- 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.57% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -12.1% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 3.34% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 4.24% ROI).
- 58-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.1 Units / 11.45% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -10.87% ROI
Yu Darvish: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .075 (4 Total Bases / 53 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (5-for-50) against Yu Darvish’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .110 (10-for-91) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .121 (4-for-33) against Yu Darvish on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — 98th Percentile.
Maxwell Scherzer: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has struck out 37% (180/486) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 10% (2/20) against Max Scherzer — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 74% (31 SO in 42 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .219 (485 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Padres are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 43-12 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Padres are 27-21 (.562) on the road this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Padres are 14-4 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Mets are 28-15 (.651) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Mets are 41-4 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Mets are 30-20 (.600) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Mets are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .339 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .642 (1,673 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Padres hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Padres are batting just .223 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 74% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Mets are batting .187 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .272 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.
Mets hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 51 of 845 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 457.3
The Padres have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Padres pitchers have walked 21 of 155 batters (14%) over the past seven days (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes this month (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Padres and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.