- The – (79-33) are favorites vs the – (79-33)
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (4-6), 3.96 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-4), 4.04 ERA
- Watch the game on Peacock
The San Diego Padres () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Padres vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 64-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-67 ATS.
Padres vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Padres vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 39 away games (+20.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+16.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+15.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Nationals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Nationals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Nationals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Luke Voit | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Snell | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -145 |
| Paolo Espino | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 49 of their last 91 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 102 games (+19.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+4.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 54-62 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -7.62% ROI).
- 64-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.58% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -2.36% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 48-67 against the Run Line (-27.4 Units / -19.45% ROI).
- 38-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -17.77% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.82% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -8.74% ROI
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 42 of 232 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 19 of 86 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (94 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .147 (21 Total Bases / 143 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .175 (7-for-40) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has not allowed a walk in his last 71 PAs against a LHH dating back to June 29th — Garrett Whitlock has the longest active streak at 86.
Paolo Espino has walked 4 of 142 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 16th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 8.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Padres are 33-24 (.579) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Padres are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Padres are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Padres are just 8-9 (.471) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Nationals are just 18-41 (.305) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Nationals are just 12-69 (.148) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Nationals are just 38-64 (.373) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 104-24 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 267 double plays in 2,041 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 61 of 1,038 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 486.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.3
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .225.
Padres pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (1003.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Nationals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D60
- Craig Stammen (Padres): Shoulder, D15
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