Padres vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
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The San Diego Padres (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+110) on May 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Padres are 32-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 38-20 ATS.

Padres vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-3, 7.66 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 4-4, 5.27 ERA

Padres vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +120O 9 -105-135
Nationals +1.5 -145U 9 -115+110

Padres vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+20.90 Units / 232% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.30 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+20.40 Units / 340% ROI)
  • Jose Tena has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.72 Units / 42% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 30-25 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 2.82% ROI).

  • 32-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 6.13% ROI
  • 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -15.91% ROI
  • 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.7 Units / 7.5% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 38-20 against the Run Line (+11.75 Units / 14.06% ROI).

  • 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 17.85% ROI
  • 37-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.3 Units / 25.06% ROI
  • 19-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -33.18% ROI

Nationals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Manny Machado +310
Gavin Sheets +350
Fernando Tatis Jr. +360
James Wood +360
Ramon Laureano +390

Nationals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Manny Machado 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Miguel Andujar 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Nationals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Dylan Crews 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
CJ Abrams 0.5 -150 0.5 +110
Curtis Mead 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Padres are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Padres are 14-10 (.583) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Padres are 19-1 (.950) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Padres are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Nationals are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Nationals are just 11-17 (.393) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Nationals are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Nationals are 24-5 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Padres are batting just .218 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .210 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .208 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .659 (2,079 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .182 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 2.00 runs per game (118/59) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 104 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .497 (129 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,574 batted balls) this season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.29 runs per game (176/28) at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (1,574 balls in play) — tied for highest in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.