• The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Padres
• Padres vs Orioles Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Padres / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on June 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Padres are 35-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 35-36 ATS.

Padres vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 5-4, 3.64 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Trey Gibson 1-1, 4.24 ERA

Padres vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Freddy Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+31.00 Units / 620% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 51% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 51% ROI)
• Freddy Fermin has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+19.60 Units / 196% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 68% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 away games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 away games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 34-32 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -2.54% ROI).

• 35-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.39% ROI
• 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -12.83% ROI
• 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 4.29% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 35-36 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -2.8% ROI).

• 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -8.17% ROI
• 41-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.2 Units / 14.29% ROI
• 27-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -22.99% ROI

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Padres are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Padres are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Padres are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .892.

The Padres are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Orioles are just 6-30 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Orioles are 11-3 (.786) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .646.

The Orioles are just 11-15 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 17-65 (.207) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .650 (2,476 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .282 (596 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .359 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .207 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .295 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .175 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .455 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .294 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .261 against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (272.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .261 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.75 runs per game (184/32) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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